Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 3.221592 3.574081 3.955829 4.401085 4.907526 5.467221 6.134758
2025-05-18 2.719183 3.192892 3.742060 4.429953 5.274399 6.284691 7.596136
2025-05-25 2.326304 2.843597 3.473204 4.304010 5.383544 6.755527 8.658202
2025-06-01 2.073718 2.617473 3.305708 4.253336 5.544148 7.270508 9.804961
2025-06-08 1.887073 2.447109 3.179864 4.226317 5.711484 7.789332 11.000056
2025-06-15 1.795466 2.388066 3.188080 4.371108 6.118054 8.672455 12.826032
2025-06-22 1.666846 2.264056 3.091599 4.351781 6.276596 9.200278 14.171388
2025-06-29 1.549202 2.143852 2.987232 4.305884 6.382767 9.649678 15.440206
2025-07-06 1.399863 1.965888 2.783589 4.089313 6.197253 9.608576 15.865425
2025-07-13 1.330389 1.899294 2.738314 4.110366 6.388593 10.197942 17.468451
2025-07-20 1.282124 1.860213 2.730343 4.187361 6.675912 10.976955 19.527977
2025-07-27 1.238617 1.824757 2.724241 4.264895 6.968853 11.795224 21.784849
2025-08-03 1.188454 1.776966 2.697242 4.308847 7.214331 12.569729 24.114290
2025-08-10 1.139251 1.727395 2.663657 4.338338 7.436625 13.328520 26.548187
2025-08-17 1.065043 1.632665 2.549014 4.215734 7.363400 13.501100 27.727020
2025-08-24 1.011002 1.567506 2.479082 4.166342 7.422450 13.942360 29.588833
2025-08-31 0.965498 1.513694 2.424600 4.139990 7.522360 14.477751 31.768152
2025-09-07 0.951543 1.511924 2.459315 4.281245 7.969535 15.807428 36.169666
2025-09-14 0.912749 1.465291 2.411963 4.262392 8.086223 16.425397 38.865460
2025-09-21 0.872794 1.414403 2.353752 4.217617 8.143352 16.914397 41.313295
2025-09-28 0.811077 1.322318 2.215961 4.006312 7.823917 16.488462 41.121069
2025-10-05 0.786637 1.295040 2.195090 4.026856 8.012384 17.295561 44.659689
2025-10-12 0.771106 1.282792 2.201095 4.101983 8.329508 18.459662 49.541861